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7 20:30 Kempton 11th Sep 2019

Wise Betting racingtv.com Handicap (Class 6) (3YO plus)

1m Standard / Slow (AW - Polytrack)

Winner £3,105 - 12 run - Draw Advantage: None
Weighed In
Winner
W/O Purgatory
W/O Purgatory And Letsbe Avenue
Not To Be Placed
Not To Win
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2
4 1/4
3 1/4
3 1/4
3 1/4
3 1/4
3 1/4
3 1/4
3 1/4
4 1/5
3 1/4
3 1/4
4 1/5
3 1/4
3 1/4
3 1/4

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Bookies best price percentage = 117.18% | Standard bookmaker terms: 3 places, 1/4 odds

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No.
(Draw)
Form
Horse
Age / Wt / OR
Jockey / Trainer
Timeform says (star rating)
1 (8)
650794
i T

Letsbe Avenue (IRE) 11

b g Lawman - Aguilas Perla (Indian Ridge)

C D G S Cl
4 9-10 b
65

Course winner. 4/1 and blinkered for 1st time, fourth of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 11 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Needs a couple of these to falter.

He has won three times from 7f to 1m including a win on polytrack. Finished 5l behind Savitar when fourth of 7 at 4-1 on his latest outing at Lingfield over 1m last month.

Course winner. 4/1 and blinkered for 1st time, fourth of 7 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) 11 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 19 3 0 15.8%
Flat (AW) 4 1 0 25%
Conditions
Course and Distance 1 0 0 0%
C Course 2 1 0 50%
D Distance 12 2 0 16.7%
G Similar Going 2 1 0 50%
S Surface(Polytrack) 4 1 0 25%
Headgear
Today (B only) 1 0 0 0%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 1 1 0 100%
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 3 0 0 0%
Connections
J Thore Hammer Hansen 0 0 0 -
T R Hannon 19 3 0 15.8%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
2 (13)
1-27000
i T

Vixen (IRE) 22

b m Kodiac - Radio Wave (Dalakhani)

C D G HG S Cl Hcp
5 9-9 h
64

Course winner. 25/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D 22 days ago. Needs to rediscover her form.

She has won three times from 7f to 1m including 2 wins on polytrack. Beaten 7l behind Highfaluting at 25-1 when 11th of 14 on her latest outing over this course and distance last month.

Course winner. 25/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at this C&D 22 days ago. Needs to rediscover her form.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 15 3 2 20%
Flat (AW) 5 2 0 40%
Conditions
Course and Distance 1 0 0 0%
C Course 4 1 0 25%
D Distance 6 1 1 16.7%
G Similar Going 3 1 0 33.3%
S Surface(Polytrack) 5 2 0 40%
Headgear
HG Today (H only) 10 3 2 30%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 4 2 1 50%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 2 1 0 50%
Connections
J Tom Marquand 1 0 0 0%
T Miss E C Lavelle 5 0 1 0%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
3 (4)
234587
i T

Bond Angel 20

gr f Monsieur Bond - Angel Grigio (Dark Angel)

D G S Cl Hcp
4 9-9
64

Seventh of 11 in handicap at Chepstow (8.1f, good to firm, 20/1) 20 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

She has won four times from 7f to 1m on fibresand. Beaten 7l behind Amorously at 20-1 when seventh of 11 on her latest outing at Chepstow over 1m (good) last month. Has won twice at Southwell this season.

Seventh of 11 in handicap at Chepstow (8.1f, good to firm, 20/1) 20 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 27 4 8 14.8%
Flat (AW) 16 4 6 25%
Conditions
Course and Distance 1 0 0 0%
Course 1 0 0 0%
D Distance 18 2 7 11.1%
G Similar Going 4 1 2 25%
S Surface(Polytrack) 3 0 1 0%
Headgear
Today (No Headgear) 26 4 8 15.4%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 14 3 5 21.4%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 6 1 3 16.7%
Connections
J Angus Villiers 0 0 0 -
T P D Evans 27 4 8 14.8%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
4 (11)
735
i T

Itmakesyouthink 14

b g So You Think - Anbella (Common Grounds)

5 9-6 h
61

Thrice-raced maiden. 50/1, fifth of 12 in maiden at this course (7f) 14 days ago. One to note in the market on his handicap debut.

Yet to place in three starts. Finished 11l behind Bear Force One when fifth of 12 at 50-1 on his latest outing here over 7f last month.

Thrice-raced maiden. 50/1, fifth of 12 in maiden at this course (7f) 14 days ago. One to note in the market on his handicap debut.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 3 0 0 0%
Flat (AW) 2 0 0 0%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
Course 1 0 0 0%
Distance 0 0 0 -
Similar Going 1 0 0 0%
Surface(Polytrack) 1 0 0 0%
Headgear
Today (H only) 3 0 0 0%
Class & Handicap Rating
Class 6 0 0 0 -
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 0 0 0 -
Connections
J S W Kelly 0 0 0 -
T Mark Loughnane 3 0 0 0%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
5 (12)
4026-74
i T

Is It Off (IRE) 50

b g Clodovil - French Doll (Titus Livius)

D Cl
4 9-6
61

Fourth of 13 in handicap (25/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 50 days ago, well positioned. Wide draw makes life difficult.

Placed twice in 11 starts. Finished 2 3/4l behind Toro Dorado when fourth of 13 at 25-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f in July.

Fourth of 13 in handicap (25/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 50 days ago, well positioned. Wide draw makes life difficult.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 11 0 2 0%
Flat (AW) 7 0 0 0%
Conditions
Course and Distance 3 0 0 0%
Course 4 0 0 0%
D Distance 5 0 1 0%
Similar Going 2 0 0 0%
Surface(Polytrack) 5 0 0 0%
Headgear
Today (No Headgear) 8 0 1 0%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 5 0 1 0%
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 6 0 0 0%
Connections
J L P Keniry 0 0 0 -
T S Curran 3 0 0 0%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
6 (2)
545579
i T

Arlecchino'S Leap 35

br g Kheleyf - Donna Giovanna (Mozart)

D HG S Cl Hcp
7 9-5 p
60

16/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 35 days ago. Others make more appeal.

Has won eight races from 5f to 1m 1f including 6 wins on the all-weather (2 PO). Beaten 12l behind Baashiq at 16-1 when 9th of 12 on his latest outing over this course and distance last month.

16/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 35 days ago. Others make more appeal.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 50 8 6 16%
Flat (AW) 32 6 3 18.8%
Conditions
Course and Distance 1 0 0 0%
Course 7 0 0 0%
D Distance 6 2 0 33.3%
Similar Going 2 0 0 0%
S Surface(Polytrack) 17 2 2 11.8%
Headgear
HG Today (P only) 26 4 2 15.4%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 6 2 0 33.3%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 32 6 3 18.8%
Connections
J F Sweeney 2 0 0 0%
T M D I Usher 50 8 6 16%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
7 (9)
628513
i T

Purgatory 12

b g Dark Angel - Meet Me Halfway (Exceed and Excel)

CD G HG S Cl
3 9-5 b
65

Winner at Yarmouth in August. 9/2, good third of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago, conceding first run. Has to be taken seriously down in class.

A winner at 1m. Third of 12 behind Gunnison beaten a head at 9-2 on his latest outing at Thirsk over 1m (good) last month.

Winner at Yarmouth in August. 9/2, good third of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (8f, good to soft) 12 days ago, conceding first run. Has to be taken seriously down in class.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 11 1 3 9.1%
Flat (AW) 3 0 1 0%
Conditions
CD Course and Distance 2 0 1 0%
C Course 2 0 1 0%
D Distance 6 1 3 16.7%
G Similar Going 2 0 1 0%
S Surface(Polytrack) 3 0 1 0%
Headgear
HG Today (B only) 2 1 1 50%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 7 1 2 14.3%
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 0 0 0 -
Connections
J P Cosgrave 2 1 1 50%
T C F Wall 11 1 3 9.1%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
8 (7)
60/966-0
i T

Professor 22

ch g Byron - Jubilee (Selkirk)

9 9-5 p
60

Twenty eight runs since last win in 2014. Twelfth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (33/1) 22 days ago, slowly away.

Winner of six races from 6f to 7f, but last win was over five years ago. Beaten 10l behind Highfaluting at 33-1 when 12th of 14 on his latest outing over this course and distance last month.

Twenty eight runs since last win in 2014. Twelfth of 14 in handicap at this C&D (33/1) 22 days ago, slowly away.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 43 6 7 14%
Flat (AW) 8 0 0 0%
Conditions
Course and Distance 2 0 0 0%
Course 7 0 0 0%
Distance 6 0 0 0%
Similar Going 3 0 0 0%
Surface(Polytrack) 7 0 0 0%
Headgear
Today (P only) 3 0 0 0%
Class & Handicap Rating
Class 6 0 0 0 -
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 8 0 0 0%
Connections
J Kieren Fox 2 0 0 0%
T W J Knight 4 0 0 0%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
9 (14)
467059
i T

The Warrior (IRE) 49

b g Exceed and Excel - Aymara (Darshaan)

CD G HG S Hcp
7 9-5 v
60

C&D winner. Three wins from 63 Flat runs. Fourteen runs since last win in 2018. Ninth of 13 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW, 20/1) 49 days ago.

He has won three times from 6f to 1m including 2 wins on polytrack. Beaten 12l behind Kendergarten Kop at 20-1 when 9th of 13 on his latest outing at Lingfield over 1m in July.

C&D winner. Three wins from 63 Flat runs. Fourteen runs since last win in 2018. Ninth of 13 in handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW, 20/1) 49 days ago.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 63 3 11 4.8%
Flat (AW) 25 2 6 8%
Conditions
CD Course and Distance 9 1 5 11.1%
C Course 9 1 5 11.1%
D Distance 38 2 5 5.3%
G Similar Going 7 0 4 0%
S Surface(Polytrack) 27 2 6 7.4%
Headgear
HG Today (V only) 4 0 1 0%
Class & Handicap Rating
Class 6 1 0 0 0%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 25 2 6 8%
Connections
J Paddy Bradley 7 0 1 0%
T L Carter 12 0 1 0%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
10 (3)
041150
i T

Mitigator 26

b c Delegator - Snake Skin (Golden Snake)

D HG S Cl
3 9-5 b
65

Latest win at Yarmouth in July. 14/1, last of 10 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Needs to bounce back.

Successful twice at 1m including a win on polytrack. Well beaten at 14-1 behind Calvados Spirit when last of 10 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 1m (good to soft) last month. Has won at Yarmouth and Lingfield this season.

Latest win at Yarmouth in July. 14/1, last of 10 in handicap at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Needs to bounce back.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 13 2 0 15.4%
Flat (AW) 9 1 0 11.1%
Conditions
Course and Distance 2 0 0 0%
Course 2 0 0 0%
D Distance 9 2 0 22.2%
Similar Going 2 0 0 0%
S Surface(Polytrack) 8 1 0 12.5%
Headgear
HG Today (B only) 5 2 0 40%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 5 2 0 40%
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 3 0 0 0%
Connections
J Morgan Cole 0 0 0 -
T Mrs L Pearce 10 2 0 20%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
11 (5)
107655
i T

Kodiac Lass (IRE) 32

b f Kodiac - Awwal Malika (Kingmambo)

3 9-5 p
65

Winner at Wolverhampton in April. 16/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 32 days ago. Makes each-way appeal dropping in class.

A winner at 7f on the all-weather. Finished 6l behind Universal Effect when fifth of 8 at 16-1 on her latest outing at Chelmsford City over 1m last month.

Winner at Wolverhampton in April. 16/1, fifth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 32 days ago. Makes each-way appeal dropping in class.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 7 1 0 14.3%
Flat (AW) 5 1 0 20%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
Course 2 0 0 0%
Distance 1 0 0 0%
Similar Going 2 0 0 0%
Surface(Polytrack) 3 0 0 0%
Headgear
Today (P only) 2 0 0 0%
Class & Handicap Rating
Class 6 0 0 0 -
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 3 0 0 0%
Connections
J Harry Bentley 1 0 0 0%
T M Botti 7 1 0 14.3%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
12 (6)
287670
i T

Dancing Jo 6

b g Mazameer - Remix (Oratorio)

CD G S Cl Hcp
3 9-4 p1
64 3

Course winner. 20/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Salisbury (8f, good to soft) 6 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Successful at 7f and 1m on polytrack. Beaten 12l behind Thechildren'strust at 20-1 when 10th of 12 on his latest outing at Salisbury over 1m (good) earlier this month. He is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.

Course winner. 20/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at Salisbury (8f, good to soft) 6 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 16 2 4 12.5%
Flat (AW) 9 2 3 22.2%
Conditions
CD Course and Distance 3 0 2 0%
C Course 5 1 3 20%
D Distance 9 1 3 11.1%
G Similar Going 5 1 3 20%
S Surface(Polytrack) 8 2 3 25%
Headgear
Today (P only) 0 0 0 -
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 7 2 3 28.6%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 5 1 1 20%
Connections
J Callum Shepherd 2 0 0 0%
T M R Channon 16 2 4 12.5%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
13 (10)
762777
i T

Winterkoenigin 32

b f Kingman - Wittgenstein (Shamardal)

D Cl
3 9-3 b1
63

Seventh of 8 in handicap (16/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 32 days ago, slowly away. Blinkers on 1st time. Others make more appeal.

Placed twice in 11 starts. Beaten 8l behind Universal Effect at 16-1 when seventh of 8 on her latest outing at Chelmsford City over 1m last month. She is wearing blinkers for the first time.

Seventh of 8 in handicap (16/1) at Chelmsford City (8f) 32 days ago, slowly away. Blinkers on 1st time. Others make more appeal.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 11 0 2 0%
Flat (AW) 2 0 0 0%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
Course 0 0 0 -
D Distance 6 0 2 0%
Similar Going 1 0 0 0%
Surface(Polytrack) 1 0 0 0%
Headgear
Today (B only) 0 0 0 -
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 3 0 1 0%
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 2 0 0 0%
Connections
J Daniel Muscutt 3 0 1 0%
T D R Lanigan 6 0 1 0%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
14 (1)
940612
i T

Fantasy Justifier (IRE) 20

b g Arakan - Grandel (Owington)

C G HG S Cl Hcp
8 9-2 p
57

Unreliable sort. Latest win at Chepstow in August. 10/1, good second of 14 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm) 20 days ago, never nearer. Others more persuasive.

Winner of six races at 6f including a win on the all-weather. Beaten 1 3/4l by Bounty Pursuit when second of 14 at 10-1 on his latest outing at Chepstow over 7f (good) last month.

Unreliable sort. Latest win at Chepstow in August. 10/1, good second of 14 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm) 20 days ago, never nearer. Others more persuasive.

Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Flat Races 63 6 12 9.5%
Flat (AW) 18 1 4 5.6%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
C Course 3 0 1 0%
Distance 0 0 0 -
G Similar Going 2 0 1 0%
S Surface(Polytrack) 7 0 2 0%
Headgear
HG Today (P only) 32 3 9 9.4%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 6 36 3 11 8.3%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 7 0 1 0%
Connections
J David Probert 18 2 4 11.1%
T R Harris 63 6 12 9.5%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record

At The Races Verdict

FANTASY JUSTIFIER endured traffic problems when second at Chepstow last month and may well have claimed a second successive victory had it not been for some torrid luck. Ron Harris' charge was full of running in the closing stages, having to wait an eternity for a gap to appear, and could gain some compensation now up in distance. Purgatory was only beaten a head at Thirsk when third 12 days ago and can prove the main danger, just ahead of course winner Letsbe Avenue.

Timeform Verdict

PURGATORY looks hard to oppose in this finale. He is more progressive than most of these and drops in grade after a solid effort at Thirsk. Kodiac Lass might be the biggest threat after a series of solid efforts in higher grades. Itmakesyouthink is worth noting in the betting on handicap debut.

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Previous winners
Year Going Ran Winner Draw Age Weight OR Form Last run Trainer (Distance) Jockey SP Time
2018 Standard 13 Fair Selene 5 4 9 6 61 317-576 120 days Mrs H Main (54 miles) Fran Berry 12/ 1 1:39.21
2017 (Div 1) Standard 13 Chetan 11 5 9 5 54 857361 7 days C Wallis (109 miles) Joshua Bryan 5/ 1 1:39.51
2017 (Div 2) Standard 13 Solent Meads 14 3 9 5 65 44-0674462 4 days Daniel Kubler (47 miles) George Downing 8/ 1 1:39.20
2016 Standard 14 In Ken's Memory 10 3 9 3 63 46-3732 18 days J Butler (85 miles) John Egan 10/ 1 1:38.87
2015 (Div 1) Standard 9 Alketios 8 4 9 7 62 000425 19 days G L Moore (31 miles) Fergus Sweeney 20/ 1 1:40.88
2015 (Div 2) Standard 10 Just Isla 5 5 9 3 58 5227-76144 27 days M Blanshard (47 miles) David Probert 16/ 1 1:42.03
2014 (Div 1) Standard 10 Lady Sylvia 6 5 9 10 65 627251 6 days J Tuite (47 miles) Jenny Powell 2/ 1 1:39.99
2014 (Div 2) Standard 9 Celestial Knight 4 3 9 2 61 3-76022 14 days J R Fanshawe (85 miles) S W Kelly 5/ 2 1:39.26
2013 Standard 13 Silver Lace 5 4 9 7 62 114-058 26 days C Wall (85 miles) T Durcan 9/ 1 1:38.45